Super bowl

Not sure what was more improbable: a Super Bowl played in Las Vegas or a QB drafted with the last pick in the 2022 leading his team to the Super Bowl? The rapid evolution of Las Vegas into a professional sports mecca since sports betting has become legal across many jurisdictions across North America is truly astonishing.

Anyways, now that we’ve had two weeks of analysis to figure if a plane that leaves Tokyo Saturday night (Tokyo time) will make it to Vegas in time for kickoff Sunday night in Vegas, lets get to the football.

To be honest, after the last couple of weeks, not sure how folks can comfortably bet against the Chiefs as undergrounds. The line started at Chiefs+2.5 and has moved down to +1.5. That’s not just a gut feel either. Patrick Mahomes is 10-1-1 ATS as an underground. Just sayin.

49ers scrapped together just enough good football against the Packers and Lions to punch their ticket to Vegas, but at times it hasn’t looked pretty. In particular, their defense has been gashed for big plays both in the air and on the ground. While we don’t expect another repeat of their first half performance against the Lions, the Chiefs might be able to find some holes. Expect the 49ers to double Kelce the whole night, so we expect big games from some of their other receivers.

The 49ers have shown an ability to string together big plays on offense against the ropes. The Chiefs defense has looked impressive during the post-season, but they haven’t lined up against a squad with as many game breakers as the stacked 49ers unit. Like always, we expect the result to largely follow whoever wins in the trenches. If the 49ers are able to effectively get pressure on Mahomes and pin down Kelce with double teams, a Super Bowl repeat will be out of the question. If the Chiefs D can slow down the run and limit the big plays, 49ers will be in a world of hurt.

At the end of the day, we ain’t going to bet against Mahomes as an underground, so take the points and let’s all agree the best outcome is a close, competitive game.

We have also identified a few prop bets that we like if you’re looking to get some side action.

• SF@KC+2.0

• Christian McCaffrey UNDER 90.5 rushing yards
• Patrick Mahomes UNDER 25.5 rushing yards
• Rashee Rice OVER 68.5 receiving yards
• Noah Grey OVER 13.5 receiving yards
• Skyy Moore OVER 1.5 receiving yards
• Brandon Aiyuk UNDER 62.5 receiving yards
• Brock Purdy OVER 37.5 longest pass completion
• Chris Jones OVER 0.5 sacks
• Jauan Jennings OVER 1.5 receptions
• Jake Moody OVER 7.5 kicking points

Conference Championship: 2-0

Regular Season Record: 124-122-11

Playoff Record: 6-6

Let’s keep it simple. Chiefs are a one point underdog less than two hours to kick off against the Eagles in Arizona. We like the Chiefs in a close matchup.

Lombardi Trophy heading back to Arrowhead. Chiefs Kingdom gonna be partying all night!

Conference Championship Record: 1-1

2022 Playoff Record: 3-9

2022 Regular Season Record: 121-142-7