Archives for September 2023

NFL 2023 – Week 3

September 24, 2023 by mvphelps Leave a Comment

Well, we’re off to a safe start to the season. Back-to-back winning weeks! But just barely!

Keeping it short and sweet this week! We ran out of time to get a Thursday night preview into the hopper, but you can be certain we took the 49ers to cover against the Giants to kick off the week.

We really like a couple of games this week (looking at you Mac Attack and the Patriots at the Meadowlands and Dolphins at home against the Broncos), but there are others that are much tougher to make a call (the Bradon Staley Hot Seat Bowl in Minny and the Titans in Cleveland to face off against the Elves).

One thing we do know is that the Chiefs will eventually find their groove on offense and we think a home game against the Bears for Kelce, Mahomes and the boys will do exactly that. The Monday Night game between the Rams and the Bengals is also a hard one to handicap with Joe Cool’s calf potentially ruling him out for the game. Regardless, we have been really impressed with the Rams to start the season with an outright win in Seattle to open the season and a solid ATS win against the 49ers last week keeping the final score within one possession. Like the Rams and the points, but if Burrow is eventually ruled out for Monday night, we could potentially see the line flip , making the Rams a small favourite, and we might reconsider.

Enjoy the games this week and let’s cash some more tickets!

NYG@SF-10.5
ATL@DET-3.0
LAC@MIN -1.0
BUF@WAS+5.5
DEN@MIA-6.0
HOU@JAX-7.5
IND@BAL-8.0
NE@NYJ+2.5
NO@GB-1.0
TEN@CLE-3.5
CAR@SEA-5.0
CHI@KC-12.5
DAL@ARZ+12.5
PIT@LV-2.5
PHI@TB+5.0
LAR@CIN-2.5

Week 2 Record: 8-7-1

Season Record: 17-14-1

NFL 2023 – Week 2

September 17, 2023 by mvphelps Leave a Comment

What did we learn from week one of the NFL’s 104th season that will still be true at the end of the season? Lots of options to choose from including: the highest paid player in the league forgot how to throw the football (looking at you Cool Joe); Zach Wilson poised to steer the USS Jets into a playoff spot and draws inspiration from our man, Mr. Trent Dilfer; the Rams aren’t tanking, but the Giants might be; the launch of artificial turf’s farewell season; and might as well hand the Lombardi Trophy over to Kyle Shannon and the 49ers right now!

No matter the story line you’re buying or selling after week 1, one thing that has stood out above all else has been the sloppy play to start the season. So many turnovers, penalties and low scoring matchups to start the season. Expect the quality of play to improve as the season moves along just like it does every year, but if the Vikes-Eagles game on Thursday night was any indication we might have to wait until week 3 for teams to find their groove again after a long offseason.

From a betting perspective, we here at MVPSportsbook had a good start to season last week and we expect to cash even more tickets this week.

Finally, fun fact about us for some of our new readers: We have no idea how to bet Lamar Jackson and the Ravens ever! If you do, send us a lifeline please. So with that Sunday confession out the way, let’s start with the Ravens-Bengals matchup and go from there. All picks are highlighted in bold.

BAL@CIN -3.0
CHI@TB -2.5
GB@ATL -2.0
IND@HOU -1.0
KC@JAX +3.0
LAC@TEN +2.5
LV@BUF -8.0
SEA@DET -4.5
NYG@ARZ +4.0
SF@LAR -7.5
NYJ@DAL -8.5
WAS@DEN -3.5
MIA@NE +2.5
NO@CAR -3.0
CLE@PIT +2.5

Week 1 Record: 9-7

Season Record: 9-7

Thursday Night Football – MIN@PHI

September 15, 2023 by mvphelps Leave a Comment

Well what does the NFL have in sort for us tonight after an eventful opening weekend. Vikings are looking a bit beat up with serious question marks along the offensive line tonight. Justin Jefferson had a monster first half against against the Bucs last Sunday, but cooled off down the stretch and wasn’t able to find the end zone. Think he’ll be motivated tonight to catch his first touchdown under the bright Amazonian lights of Thursday Night and solidify his perch atop the wide receiver ranks.

As for the Eagles, they played some pretty uninspiring ball last week after blitzing the Pats early and racing out to an early 16-0 lead in the first quarter. While the Eagles roster might be the deepest and most talented in the league, there was significant change to the leadership of the offense and defense after both of their Super Bowl coordinators took head coaching jobs in the offseason. This is an underrated variable that has the potential to significantly impact the flow of the team, particularly early in the season. Hurts didn’t play much in the preseason and he’s still getting adjusted to a new play caller. Expect some more uneven play tonight from the Eagles.

Nervously taking the Viking +6.0

Thursday Night Record: 0-1

NFL 2023 – Season Win Totals

September 10, 2023 by mvphelps Leave a Comment

NFL 2023…here we go!! The start of the season always a clean slate, so much hope, so many dreams! Projects win totals listed below. Will be fun to look back at the end of the regular season and see which teams will have us going “What were we thinking!”

ARZ 3.5 Over
ATL 8.5 Over
BAL 10.5 Under
BUF 10.5 Over
CAR 7.5 Under
CHI 7.5 Under
CIN 10.5 Over
CLE 9.5 Under
DAL 10.5 Under
DEN 8.5 Under
DET 9.5 Over
GB 7.5 Under
HOU 6.5 Under
IND 6.5 Under
JAX 9.5 Over
KC 11.5 Over
LAC 9.5 Over
LAR 6.5 Under
LV 6.5 Over
MIA 9.5 Over
MIN 8.5 Over
NE 6.5 Under
NO 9.5 Under
NYG 7.5 Over
NYJ 9.5 Over
PHI 11.5 Over
PIT 8.5 Under
SF 10.5 Over
SEA 9.5 Over
TB 6.5 Over
TEN 7.5 Over
WAS 6.5 Over

NFL 2023 – Week 1

September 10, 2023 by mvphelps Leave a Comment

Not sure how, but week 1 really snuck up on us! Quick and dirty picks for an exciting start to the season! Here we go!

DET@KC-4.0
ARZ@WAS -7.0
CAR@ATL-3.5
CIN@CLE+2.0
HOU@BAL-9.5
JAX@IND+4.5
SF@PIT+2.5
TB@MIN-5.0
TEN@NO-3.0
GB@CHI-1.5
LAR@SEA-5.0
LV@DEN-3.5
MIA@LAC-3.0
PHI@NE+4.0
DAL@NYG+3.5
BUF@NYJ+2.5