Let’s be real — last week’s picks were rough. The kind of rough that makes you stare at your betting slip like it personally betrayed you.
And Thanksgiving?
Yeah… also a mess.
Except for Packers over the Lions — the lone glorious victory in an otherwise humbling holiday slate.
But we don’t dwell. We reset, recalibrate, and roll into this week ready to get right.
Let’s go baby!!
GB @ DET -3.0 — PICK: GB
Detroit is talented, but the Packers have a knack for keeping this matchup tight — and covering.
KC @ DAL +3.0 — PICK: KC
Yes, Dallas is a home dog — but Patrick Mahomes is still the great equalizer. KC’s offense stabilizes enough to get the road cover.
CIN @ BAL -7.0 — PICK: BAL
Baltimore laying a touchdown feels right. Their defense can make life miserable for a depleted Bengals offense even with the return of Joe Burrow.
CHI @ PHI -7.0 — PICK: PHI
Mismatch city. The Eagles’ playmakers should dictate this from wire to wire.
ARZ @ TB -3.5 — PICK: ARZ
Too many points for Tampa Bay to lay. Arizona is scrappy and live as an underdog.
ATL @ NYJ +3.0 — PICK: ATL
Jets’ offensive struggles make them tough to back. Falcons have the more functional unit.
HOU @ IND -3.0 — PICK: IND
Colts’ run game and home field give them a slight edge in a divisional grinder.
JAX @ TEN +6.0 — PICK: JAX
Jacksonville can pull away late. Tennessee keeps things competitive but not close enough.
LAR @ CAR +10 — PICK: CAR
Carolina covers in an ugly, low-scoring game. Ten points is too much for the Rams on the road.
NO @ MIA -5.0 — PICK: MIA
Miami at home is usually the safer side. Saints don’t have the firepower to match pace.
SF @ CLE +5.0 — PICK: CLE
Cleveland’s defense + home field + points = value. Taking the dog.
MIN @ SEA -12.0 — PICK: MIN
Seattle shouldn’t be laying 12 on anyone. Minnesota hangs around.
BUF @ PIT +3.0 — PICK: BUF
Bills grind out another tough road win. Steelers’ offense still too limited.
LV @ LAC -9.5 — PICK: LAC
Chargers by double digits if they avoid self-sabotage. Raiders overmatched here.
DEN @ WAS +6.5 — PICK: DEN
Broncos defense should dictate tempo. Washington getting 6.5 still doesn’t feel like enough.
NYG @ NE -7.0 — PICK: NE
New England at home in a slugfest. Giants inconsistent enough to trust the Patriots to cover.
Final Thoughts
Last week wasn’t pretty, but this card offers a mix of value favorites, scrappy dogs, and a few spots ripe for a bounce-back.
Here’s to a much better week, more winning tickets, and officially retiring last week’s disaster from memory.
Week 12 Record: 5-8-1
Season Record: 82-94-4