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NFL 2022 – Thursday Night IND@DEN

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Hard to make sense of either team. Broncos are 2-2, but feel like they could be a 0-4 team. Meanwhile, the Colts tie the Texans and then beat the Chiefs. I says pardon!

Both teams are without their starting running backs and both defenses have been torched in recent weeks. Broncos are a three point favourite at home tonight. Broncos showed some offensive spark life in the second half of last week’s game against the Raiders. Broncos have more play makers on the outside and I expect their defense to start to round into form in the next few weeks. Without JT, I don’t see the Colts and Matt Ryan having much success this week. In spite of Russ and his dumb new football, Broncos -3.0 at home is the play.

Thursday night record: 1-3

NFL 2022 – Week 4 Picks

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Thursday night was not a good look for the NFL. Feel for Tua and wish him an uneventful recovery on a schedule that makes sense for him. Kind of a gross way to start the week 1-0 against the spread, but facts are facts.

After another 8-8 week, here’s hoping we can finally sport an above .500 record and start making it rain. As Belichick coaching theory goes, you don’t start making adjustments to your squad until week 4. Week 4 is when it all changes for Bill and us!

Here are the picks this week in bold below:

  • MIN@NO +3.5
  • BUF@BAL +3.0
  • CHI@NYG -3.0
  • CLE@ATL +1.0
  • JAX@PHI -6.5
  • LAC@HOU +6.0
  • NYJ@PIT -3.5
  • SEA@DET -3.5
  • TEN@IND -3.5
  • WAS@DAL -3.0
  • ARZ@CAR -1.0
  • DEN@LV -2.5
  • NE@GB -10.0
  • KC@TB -1.0
  • LAR@SF -1.0

Week 3 Record: 8-8

Season Record: 23-25

NFL 2022 – Week 3 Picks

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Wow! Some serious meltdowns last week cost us a winning record. We picked the Ravens, Browns, and Raiders all to cover at home and it was looking like all three would until it didn’t. Epic collapses by all three teams. Here’s to better luck this week!

  • BAL -2.5 @ NE
  • BUF -5.0 @ MIA
  • CIN -6.0 @ NYJ
  • DET @ MIN -6.0
  • HOU +2.5 @ CHI
  • KC -5.5 @ IND
  • LV @ TEN +2.0
  • NO -2.5 @ CAR
  • PHI -6.0 @ WAS
  • JAX +3.5 @ LAC
  • ATL +1.0 @ SEA
  • GB @ TB -1.0
  • LAR -3.5 @ ARZ
  • SF -1.5 @ DEN
  • DAL +1.0 @ NYG

Week 2 Results: 7-9

Season Results: 15-17

NFL 2022 – Week 2 Picks

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Not a great week 1, but not a terrible one either. A 50/50 split between winners and losers against the spread across all 16 games. Let’s build off that and have a strong week 2. Here are the picks for the full slate of week 2 games.

  • LAC @ KC (+4.5)
  • CAR @ NYG (-1.5)
  • IND @ JAX (+3.0)
  • MIA @ BAL (-3.5)
  • NE (-2.5) @ PIT
  • NYJ @ CLE (-6.5)
  • TB @ NO (+2.5)
  • WAS @ DET (-1.0)
  • ATL @ LAR (-10.0)
  • SEA (+9.5) @ SF
  • ARZ @ LV (-5.5)
  • CIN (-7.0) @ DAL
  • HOU @ DEN (-10.0)
  • CHI @ GB (-10.0)
  • TEN @ BUF (-10.0)
  • MIN @ PHI (-2.0)

Week 1 Results: 8-8-0

Season Results: 8-8-0

Super Bowl LVI

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So we thought about highlighting 56 bets as an homage to Super Bowl LVI (56), but that’s a lot of picks. Instead we’re just giving you our best plays for the big game rather than a watered down slate of action. Good luck!

  • Spread: LA Rams -4.0 (-110)
  • Total: 48.5 (-110) Over
  • Passing Yards: Burrow 279.5 (-110) Over
  • Passing Yards: Stafford 285.5 (-110) Under
  • Player Passing Attempts: Stafford 35.5 (-115) Under
  • Player Passing Attempts: Burrow 36.5 (-120) Over
  • Player Interceptions: Burrow 0.5 (-145) Over
  • Player Receiving Yards: OBJ 63.5 (-110) Over
  • Player Receiving Yards: Cam Akers 14.5 (-105) Under
  • Player Receptions: Tyler Boyd 4.5 (+135) Over
  • Player Receptions: Samaje Perine 1.5 (-105) Over
  • Player Rushing Yards: Cam Akers 63.5 (-110) Over
  • Player Rushing Yards: Matthew Stafford 5.5 (-110) Over
  • Player Rushing Yards: Joe Mixon 61.5 (-110) Under
  • Touchdown Scorer: OBJ (+140)
  • Touchdown Scorer: Ja’Marr Chase (+120)
  • Player to Record a Sack: Aaron Donald (-220)
  • Player to Record a Sack: Von Miller (-185)

NFL Championship Round Picks

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So coming off an epic divisional round, I expect the games this weekend to be a little of a let down.

Cincinnati @ Kansas City (-7.5)

Last weekend against the Titans, the Bengals became the first team in NFL post season history to give up 9 sacks and still win. In their last six games, the Bengals are 6-0 ATS (against the spread). In only his second season in the NFL, Joe Burrow will be playing in his first AFC Championship game. Suspect it won’t be his last, but at some point you’d think the young stud would have a deer in the headlights kind of game given everything on the line. On the other sideline, Mr. Grim Reaper and the Chiefs will be playing in their fourth consecutive Championship game. These two teams played each other in Week 17 with the Bengals coming from behind to win 34-31. I’m not putting too much stock in that one as the Chiefs got up 28-17 at halftime and then it felt like they mentally checked out during the break and were busy checking their crypto accounts in the locker room. While I think the Bengals will hang around, the Chiefs are coming off a game where they hung 42 points on an excellent Bills defence and I don’t think the Bengals can keep up. Gonna be a shootout!

The Pick: Chiefs +7.5

Favourite prop bet: Frank Clark to record a sack (+112)

San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams (-3.5)

A nice little NFC West grudge match to decide who goes to the Super Bowl. Coach Shanahan runs the Rams’ show having won six straight against McVay and the boys in blue. In week 18, the 49ers erased a 17-0 deficit and stormed back to punch their ticket to the playoffs in a thrilling OT finish. Despite that tough beat, I think the Rams will come into this game full of confidence and thinking that if they execute their game plan for the full 60-minutes, they’ll be playing at Sofi Stadium in two weeks time for the Lombardi Trophy. The quarterback play from Jimmy G hasn’t been elite in recent weeks, but the 49ers are a determined group with explosive play makers (Deebo Samuel and George Kittle) and a scary good front 7 when healthy. I just don’t think it’s going to be enough against a Rams squad that is loaded on both sides of the ball. Midseason acquisitions Von Miller and OBJ have once again established themselves as game changers and complement the all-world talents of Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey, Cooper Kupp, and Matt Stafford. I think the 49ers are going to need a couple of gift wrapped turnovers to keep the game within striking distance and I don’t see that happening this week. I guarantee Akers will be sure handed coming off a two-fumble performance last week in Tampa and believe McVay will put his quarterback in a position to eliminate some of the inconsistencies we’ve seen from Stafford over the course of the season. If the Rams O-line can hold up against an relentless 49ers pass rush and buy Stafford an extra beat or two, the Rams receivers are going to cook all night long.

The Pick: Rams (-3.5)

Favourite Prop Bet: OBJ Receiving Yards – O/54.5(-105)