NFL

Lots of good football games this week. Well maybe only two on second thought. Chiefs and Bills and Cowboys and Eagles. We had another winning week last week, posting a 10-6 record against the spread. Let’s keep stacking winning weeks together.

Lots of games that are hard to handicap this week. Are the Packers going to bounce back in America at Lambeau? Who has the worst defence, Seattle or Cardinals? Feels like whichever team has the ball last might end up winning that one. Are the Chiefs going to find anyone else to catch balls from Mahomes this week? Can the Rams find a second option to Cooper Kupp? If not, a 10-point spread seems generous against the Panthers. Gonna fade the Broncos from here on out until Mr. Everything shows some semblance of his former self for multiple games. What’s going in Jacksonville after getting stoned by the Texans last week and blowing a huge lead against the Eagles the week prior?

No idea which teams are good or bad at this point. Just how the league office wants it. Any given Sunday!

Here are the week 6 picks in bold below:

• BAL@NYG +5.5
• CIN@NO +3.0
• JAX@IND -1.5
• MIN@MIA +3.0
• NE@CLE -2.5
• NYJ@GB -7.5
• SF@ATL +4.0
• TB@PIT +10.0
• ARZ@SEA +2.5
• CAR@LA -10.0
• BUF@KC +2.5
• DAL@PHI -6.5
• DEN@LAC -4.5

Week 5 Record: 10-6

Season Record: 44-35-1

That’s what I’m talking about! Belichick was right! You know what kind of squad you have after week 4 and we’ve got a WAGON! A nice little 11-4-1 record against the spread last week to get us trending in the right direction!

Back-to-back Thursday night games that were hard to watch, but for very different reasons. Tua with the ugly concussion (another one this past Thursday too, but this time Hines was ruled out 2 minutes after being taken off the field- coincidence, I think not!) and just bad football this week. Matt Ryan couldn’t stay on his feet and Russell couldn’t stop throwing up on himself. Thought the Broncos hired an assistant specifically to tell the Head Coach what to do at critical junctures of the game. It’s called situational football and I foolishly thought the reason you pay a Head Coach millions of dollars was to make tough calls. No, that’s silly! Regardless, Broncos still really stink at situational football. Kick the field goal! A totally over correction for that week 1 debacle in Seattle.

Anyways, lots of great games in week 5 and looking to carry the momentum forward and cash a pile more tickets on Sunday! Week 5 picks are highlighted in bold below:

• NYG@GB -8.0
• ATL@TB -10.0
• CHI@MIN -7.5
• DET@NE -3.0
• HOU@JAX -7.0
• LAC@CLE +1.0
• MIA@NYJ +3.5
• PIT@BUF -14.0
• SEA@NO -5.0
• TEN@WAS +1.0
• SF@CAR +6.5
• DAL@LAR -5.5
• PHI@ARZ +5.0
• CIN@BAL -3.5
• LV@KC -7.0

Week 4 Record: 11-4-1

Season Record: 34-29-1

Hard to make sense of either team. Broncos are 2-2, but feel like they could be a 0-4 team. Meanwhile, the Colts tie the Texans and then beat the Chiefs. I says pardon!

Both teams are without their starting running backs and both defenses have been torched in recent weeks. Broncos are a three point favourite at home tonight. Broncos showed some offensive spark life in the second half of last week’s game against the Raiders. Broncos have more play makers on the outside and I expect their defense to start to round into form in the next few weeks. Without JT, I don’t see the Colts and Matt Ryan having much success this week. In spite of Russ and his dumb new football, Broncos -3.0 at home is the play.

Thursday night record: 1-3

Thursday night was not a good look for the NFL. Feel for Tua and wish him an uneventful recovery on a schedule that makes sense for him. Kind of a gross way to start the week 1-0 against the spread, but facts are facts.

After another 8-8 week, here’s hoping we can finally sport an above .500 record and start making it rain. As Belichick coaching theory goes, you don’t start making adjustments to your squad until week 4. Week 4 is when it all changes for Bill and us!

Here are the picks this week in bold below:

• MIN@NO +3.5
• BUF@BAL +3.0
• CHI@NYG -3.0
• CLE@ATL +1.0
• JAX@PHI -6.5
• LAC@HOU +6.0
• NYJ@PIT -3.5
• SEA@DET -3.5
• TEN@IND -3.5
• WAS@DAL -3.0
• ARZ@CAR -1.0
• DEN@LV -2.5
• NE@GB -10.0
• KC@TB -1.0
• LAR@SF -1.0

Week 3 Record: 8-8

Season Record: 23-25